Budiman Minasnya, Damien J. Fielda, Maurício Roberto Cherubinb, c, A. Stuart Grandyd, Jagdish K. Ladhae, Alex B. McBratneya, Wartini Nga, Raj Setiaf, Peng Zhanga
a Sydney Institute of Agriculture, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
b Department of Soil Science, “Luiz de Queiroz”, College of Agriculture, University of São Paulo, Piracicaba, Brazil
c Center for Carbon Research in Tropical Agriculture (CCARBON), University of São Paulo, Piracicaba, Brazil
d College of Life Sciences and Agriculture, University of New Hampshire, USA
e University of California, Davis, USA
f Punjab Remote Sensing Centre, India
Highlights
- Nitrogen connects vulnerabilities across food, energy, and soil security.
- Current knowledge has not translated into systemic resilience.
- Farming systems must sustain production while reducing fertiliser-shock exposure.
- A five-level strategy is proposed to build lasting nitrogen resilience.
Abstract
Global food production relies heavily on fossil-energy-derived nitrogen (N) fertiliser, creating a structural vulnerability to energy and geopolitical shocks. Disruptions rapidly raise fertiliser costs, threaten food production, and disproportionately affect smallholders and import-dependent countries. This paper argues that nitrogen is no longer only an agronomic input or an emissions problem, but a strategic vulnerability at the intersection of food, energy, and soil security. We review what is established in nitrogen science, where uncertainties remain, and why technical knowledge has not translated into enduring improvements in nitrogen productivity. We then propose a leverage-based research and policy agenda: buffering current systems against shocks, improving nitrogen flows within existing production systems, changing feedbacks and incentives, restructuring nutrient and energy pathways, and ultimately redefining agricultural goals around sustained production under lower fossil nitrogen dependence. The central task is not simply to maximise nitrogen-use efficiency, but to build food systems that maintain yield and profitability, reduce exposure to fossil-energy and fertiliser-market shocks, and protect the soil nutrient capital on which long-term productivity depends. Reframing N this way shifts the agenda from isolated technical fixes to coordinated changes in agronomy, breeding, soil biogeochemistry, infrastructure, markets, and policy.
Keywords
Nitrogen fertiliser; Nitrogen use efficiency; Agricultural resilience; Food security; Energy security; Soil security; Leverage-based research