Stoécio Malta Ferreira Maiaa, Crislany Canuto dos Santosb, Lucas Tadeu Greschukc, Marcelo Cavalcanted, Mauricio Roberto Cherubine, Cimélio Bayerf, Carlos Eduardo Pellegrino Cerrie
a Federal Institute of Education, Science and Technology of Alagoas (IFAL), Marechal Deodoro, AL, 57160-000, Brazil
b Campus of Engineering and Agrarian Sciences, Federal University of Alagoas (CECA/UFAL), National Institute of Science and Technology in Low Carbon Emission Agriculture (INCT-ABC), Rio Largo, AL, 57100-000, Brazil
c Luiz de Queiroz College of Agriculture, University of São Paulo, Piracicaba, São Paulo, Brazil
d Federal Institute of Education, Science and Technology of Alagoas (IFAL), Maragogi, AL, 57955-000, Brazil
e Center for Carbon Research in Tropical Agriculture (CCARBON), University of São Paulo, Piracicaba, SP, 13416-900, Brazil
f Department of Soil Science, IRGEB, Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul, Bento Gonçalves Avenue 7712, Porto Alegre, RS, 91540-000, Brazil
b Campus of Engineering and Agrarian Sciences, Federal University of Alagoas (CECA/UFAL), National Institute of Science and Technology in Low Carbon Emission Agriculture (INCT-ABC), Rio Largo, AL, 57100-000, Brazil
c Luiz de Queiroz College of Agriculture, University of São Paulo, Piracicaba, São Paulo, Brazil
d Federal Institute of Education, Science and Technology of Alagoas (IFAL), Maragogi, AL, 57955-000, Brazil
e Center for Carbon Research in Tropical Agriculture (CCARBON), University of São Paulo, Piracicaba, SP, 13416-900, Brazil
f Department of Soil Science, IRGEB, Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul, Bento Gonçalves Avenue 7712, Porto Alegre, RS, 91540-000, Brazil
Highlights
- Integrated assessment of pasture intensification across all Brazilian biomes.
- Increasing stocking rates can raise beef production by 30% on existing land.
- Improved management can reduce pasture area needs by up to 28% for same output.
- Restoring 89 Mha of degraded pastures sequesters 598 Tg C over 20 years.
- Soil carbon stocks increase significantly with higher livestock stocking rates.
Abstract
Livestock production is a major contributor to land-use change and greenhouse gas emissions, yet it remains central to food security in many tropical countries. Brazil, the world’s largest beef exporter, exemplifies this dual challenge: extensive pasturelands support national production, but widespread degradation limits productivity, accelerates soil carbon losses, and drives pressure for continued deforestation. This study provides the first integrated, national-scale assessment of how sustainable intensification and pasture restoration could simultaneously enhance beef production and contribute to climate mitigation across all Brazilian biomes. Using spatially explicit data on stocking rates, pasture condition, and soil organic carbon (SOC), we quantify productivity gaps and estimate the carbon sequestration potential associated with recovering degraded pastures. Specifically, we integrated municipal livestock records with remote sensing-derived maps and the SoilGrids platform to model regional production and land-use scenarios. Our results indicate that increasing stocking rates within existing pasture areas could raise national beef production by approximately 30% without expanding agricultural land. Alternatively, improved management could reduce pasture area requirements by up to 28% while maintaining current output. Restoring 89 million hectares of degraded pastures would sequester 598 Tg C over 20 years and avoid an additional 381 Tg C in losses, with sequestration rates varying by biome and degradation level. These findings demonstrate that sustainable intensification represents a viable pathway to reconcile food production, land-use efficiency, and climate mitigation. By quantifying the biophysical and territorial dimensions of this transition, our study provides evidence to inform Brazil’s climate commitments and global efforts to decouple livestock production from environmental degradation. The results highlight the strategic role of tropical pasturelands in achieving large-scale soil carbon sequestration.
Keywords
Pasture restoration; Emissions mitigation; Land-use efficiency; Beef cattle production; Soil carbon sequestration